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Projecting Coen Carr’s role with Michigan State in 2026-27

This is a huge season for Coen Carr.
Mar 21, 2026; Buffalo, NY, USA; Michigan State Spartans forward Coen Carr (55) controls the ball in the first half against the Louisville Cardinals during a second round game of the men's 2026 NCAA Tournament at Keybank Center. Mandatory Credit: Mark Konezny-Imagn Images
Mar 21, 2026; Buffalo, NY, USA; Michigan State Spartans forward Coen Carr (55) controls the ball in the first half against the Louisville Cardinals during a second round game of the men's 2026 NCAA Tournament at Keybank Center. Mandatory Credit: Mark Konezny-Imagn Images | Mark Konezny-Imagn Images

One of the most improved players on Michigan State’s roster this past season was junior forward Coen Carr. He developed his game from his sophomore season even though his 3-point shooting percentage dropped — it was on a higher volume.

Carr went from essentially just being a dunker to adding a 3-point shot to his arsenal. He did make 5-of-15 during his sophomore year, but he made 21 threes as a junior and even attempted to add a consistent mid-range jumper. He looked much more confident, but there’s still a long way to go if he’s going to be a solid No. 2 option on a national title contender.

Shooting threes may never be his strength, but if he can make 30-plus percent from deep and develop a solid mid-range jumper, he could legitimately be an All-Big Ten first-teamer.

Carr is facing the biggest season of his career and his NBA future depends on the growth he’s made from his junior to senior year.

Not only is Carr the best lob threat in college basketball and the most insane dunker we’ve seen maybe ever at Michigan State, but he’s a good defender and a great leader. I’ve said it before and I’ll say it once again: he needs to follow the Ausar Thompson blueprint.

The junior is incredibly important to Tom Izzo’s quest for national title No. 2.

What will Coen Carr’s role be in 2026-27?

Obviously Carr is going to have a huge role as the team’s starting small forward but will he hit 30 minutes per game after flirting with that last year? Yes, yes he is.

Carr is going to play around 30 minutes per game and he’s going to see an uptick in every major statistical category: points, rebounds, blocks, 3-point percentage.

As the second-most important player on the roster entering the most important season in the past decade, Carr is going to average 15-17 points, 6-8 rebounds, and 1.5 blocks per game. I can also see him shooting somewhere between 30-33 percent from three. He’ll increase the volume and look much more comfortable taking shots from beyond the arc.

I also believe he’ll shoot over 70 percent from the line after making just 62 percent this past season.

Carr will be able to play the three and four, but most of his time will be spent at the former. He’s going to have a massive season and become a borderline first-round prospect.

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