2. Win the turnover battle
The bad news is that Minnesota has the 22nd best turnover margin in the nation. The other bad news is that Michigan State is 125th best in the nation (also known as fifth-worst in the nation). The other bad news is that Minnesota has fumbled twice all season and only one of those fumbles was recovered by the other team.
The good news is Athan Kaliakmanis has six interceptions this season which ties him for the Big Ten lead. The weather is iffy for Minneapolis on Saturday, with a high of 34 and a 24 percent chance of snow showers/flurries. We all saw how the weather affected ball security in the Rutgers game.
There is 0.1% chance of Michigan State winning this game if they have more turnovers than Minnesota. One interception could be all the difference in game featuring two mediocre offenses.