1. Michigan State covers the spread
As of Friday, the day before the game, Michigan State is an 11.5-point underdog.
The line actually began much lower with Iowa being favored by about a touchdown on Sunday when they were released, but that almost immediately ballooned to 12.5 points and now it’s settling at around 11.5 which is a tricky line to bet.
A lot of people may be wondering why the line is so slim considering Michigan State just lost its last two games at home by a combined score of 72-16. Well, that’s because Iowa had an even worse Week 4 than the Spartans, getting blanked 31-0 at Penn State with under 100 total yards. It’s hard to buy stock in this team.
Iowa has looked less than impressive this season, barely beating Utah State and Iowa State before beating Western Michigan handily after a slow start.
Iowa’s offense is horrid and I think Michigan State’s defense actually stands a chance here. Will it be enough to pull off the upset? Maybe, but I think the Spartans cover the spread at least.