Con: Talent, experience on paper don’t always translate on the court
The shining example is last season’s UNC team. Preseason No. 1, all the talent and championship game experience you could hope for, and what did that get them? A seventh-place finish in the ACC and missing the NCAA tournament entirely.
Need an example a little closer to home? The 2011-12 Michigan State Spartans were led by seniors Kalin Lucas and Durrell Summers. The supporting cast on that team? Juniors Draymond Green, Korie Lucious, and Delvon Roe. The incoming freshmen included Keith Appling and Adreian Payne (RIP). Looks like the perfect mix of veteran leadership and young talent that was one of the most disaster-ridden seasons in recent MSU history, failing to win 20 games for the first time in eight years.
Preseason rankings are fun and provide hope, but they’re not an exact science and were not handing out Big Ten trophies or Final Four banners three days after the title game.