Michigan State football: 3 bold predictions vs. Maryland in Week 5

EAST LANSING, MICHIGAN - SEPTEMBER 10: Payton Thorne #10 of the Michigan State Spartans celebrates a touchdown with Jalen Berger #8 of the Michigan State Spartans against the Akron Zips during the third quarter at Spartan Stadium on September 10, 2022 in East Lansing, Michigan. (Photo by Nic Antaya/Getty Images)
EAST LANSING, MICHIGAN - SEPTEMBER 10: Payton Thorne #10 of the Michigan State Spartans celebrates a touchdown with Jalen Berger #8 of the Michigan State Spartans against the Akron Zips during the third quarter at Spartan Stadium on September 10, 2022 in East Lansing, Michigan. (Photo by Nic Antaya/Getty Images) /
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Sep 17, 2022; Seattle, Washington, USA; Michigan State Spartans quarterback Payton Thorne (10) passes against the Washington Huskies during the first quarter at Alaska Airlines Field at Husky Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports
Sep 17, 2022; Seattle, Washington, USA; Michigan State Spartans quarterback Payton Thorne (10) passes against the Washington Huskies during the first quarter at Alaska Airlines Field at Husky Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports /

2. Payton Thorne out-duels Taulia Tagovailoa

I’ve been one of the biggest Payton Thorne supporters over the past two years and I was all-in on him after his breakout game against Penn State back at the end of the 2020 campaign but I’ll be the first to admit that he has been bad this year. His numbers aren’t awful, but he’s been pressing way too much and it’s easy to do that when his favorite target is hurt and he’s down a touchdown before he’s even stepped foot on the field for the past two weeks.

The margin for error for Thorne against Washington and Minnesota has been essentially non-existent and one mistake has pretty much sealed the deal for his confidence and MSU’s hopes.

But he’s played solid defense for the past two weeks and, believe it or not, Maryland’s defense is actually worse than the Spartans’ through four games. The Terrapins allow over 400 yards per game and 260 through the air (MSU allows just under 400 total and 265 through the air).

That’s going to allow Thorne to have his best game of the season and out-duel one of the most prolific passers in the Big Ten in Taulia Tagovailoa. He’ll finish with over three yards and a couple of touchdowns while Taulia also has around 300 and a score with a pick or two — yes, the defensive backfield will make some plays.