Michigan State Betting Trend Points to Big Value On The Road vs Illinois
By Joe Summers
The #10 ranked Michigan State Spartans take on the #24 Illinois Fighting Illini tonight at 7:00 PM EST. WynnBET has the Spartans as 4.5-point underdogs and +170 on the moneyline (bet $10 to win $17) while the over/under is set at 142.
Despite boasting a 15-3 overall record, Michigan State is only 10-8 against the spread (ATS) this season. But there is one situation in play tonight that Michigan State presents tremendous value on and bettors need to take notice.
Michigan State vs Illinois Betting Trend
On the road, Michigan State is a perfect 4-0 against the spread, covering by an average of over 9 points per game. Typically oddsmakers give teams home court advantage baked into the spread, but they seem to be undervaluing how well Michigan State can negate that advantage.
The Spartans are excellent on both ends of the floor, ranking 17th nationally in defensive field goal percentage and 6th in 3-point shooting per Bart Torvik. They’re the 10th-tallest team in the country but still make 39.2% of their 3-point shots, a tremendous feat.
With the 38th-best offensive rebounding rate and 70th free throw rate, they give themselves an opportunity for second-chance points and freebies at the charity stripe.
By preventing easy baskets for their opponent, shooting three pointers at a high percentage, giving themselves second-chance opportunities and converting at the free throw line, Michigan State is able to mitigate an opposing team’s home-court advantage.
Finally, there’s the Tom Izzo factor. One of the most successful coaches in all of college basketball, Izzo knows how to have his team prepared and focused.
Bettors need to be aware of this trend moving forward. I love the Spartans to move to 5-0 ATS on the road today and will be taking them +4.5 at Illinois.
Head on over to WynnBET and take advantage before oddsmakers realize how stout this squad is in opposing gyms.